Trade Up Calculator

Calculate the expected value of a trade-up contract in CS:GO/Counter-Strike 2. Enter the collection, target item, and input items to see the probability and expected return.

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How to use this tool?

How to Use the Trade Up Calculator

  1. Select a Collection – Choose the weapon collection for your trade-up (e.g., The Ancient Collection).
  2. Select Target Wear – Pick the desired wear grade for the output item (e.g., Factory New).
  3. Enter Input Count – Specify how many items you’re using (1 to 10).
  4. Enter Average Input Price – Input the average price per item in USD (e.g., 5.50).
  5. Enter Target Price – Input the market price of the target item in USD (e.g., 50.00).
  6. Click “Calculate” – The tool shows expected value, probability, total cost, and ROI.

Note: All prices are in USD. The probability is a fixed 10% for demonstration; actual results may vary.

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Frequently Asked Questions

A trade-up contract allows you to exchange 10 items of the same collection for one item of a higher rarity.

Expected value = (probability of getting target item * its price) - (cost of 10 input items). Probability depends on the number of possible outcomes.

A positive expected value indicates a profitable trade-up in the long run. However, individual results vary due to randomness.

Reviewed by Experts

José de Castro

José de Castro

Data Scientist

Data Analyst | Gamer

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